Ann Pettifor

Is there a ten-year cycle?

19th July will mark ten years since the onset of the East Asian Financial Crisis. My most vivid memory of that crisis was attending the IMF’s annual meeting in Hong Kong in late September, 1997. I watched incredulously as a proposal by arrogant IMF officials to ignore democratic mandates, and economic common sense, and force

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Bloomberg on declining assets

Hold on to your assets, says Bob Ivry of Bloomberg (12 March 2007). The deepest housing decline in 16 years is about to get worse. As many as 1.5 million more Americans may lose their homes, another 100,000 people in housing-related industries could be fired, and an estimated 100 additional subprime mortgage companies that lend

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Of asteroids and credit

In August 2006, when most financial commentators, banks and lenders were asleep at the wheel, I posted a piece on the Guardian’s Comment is Free site predicting that the fall in house sales in Florida and California were canaries in the deep vast coal mine of US credit – and that the impact of a

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Bought the FT this morning; fear is lurking in the credit markets. There is now talk of pension funds buying into risky credit markets at just the point hedge funds have slyly slithered out of them; of companies – like California’s Fremont General Corp – dangerously exposed to the sub-prime lending market; and, because of

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Real reasons to panic

Wolfgang Munchau writes intelligently today for Eurointelligencewarning of three real reasons to panic. One: a US recession is now imminent, and is going to be painful for the global economy; ‘soft landing’ talk is self-serving and reckless; second the threat of a ‘severe financial crisis in the global credit markets’; and third, the failure of

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Is the lending bubble bursting?

Are the rumbles that started in Florida and the West Coast housing market last year, and that culminated in HSBC’s recent announcement of losses in its sub-prime lending business, turning into the earthquake many of us have long predicted?…Judging from wild swings in both stock and currency markets yesterday and today, reality seems finally to

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